Perception and Misperception in International Politics. By ROBERT. JERVIS. ( Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, Pp. xi, $ cloth, $ . Jervis, R. (). Perception and Misperception in International Politics. Princeton, Princeton. University Press. I. Chapter 1: Perception and the Level of Analysis. This study of perception and misperception in foreign policy was a landmark in the application of cognitive psychology to political decision making. The New.

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In other words, we generally see what we expect to see, and continue to see it in the face of much new information. Avey and Michael C. Want to Read saving…. Political Science and M.

I am especially glad that he selected people with experience in the policy world as well as those who have made their careers as research scholars; while my primary target is the academic community, the work has policy implications. We often forget, however, that the receiver of U. Jervis argues that the limitations of evolutionary models lie in percrption lack of variance, because they rest primarily on the search for human universals in the psychological mechanisms that shape decision making.

Perception and Misperception in International Politics

Studying signaling in isolation from perception can never yield more than an incomplete theory of interstate behavior.

My own views on this changed over time and remain unstable. Rather than an overwhelming focus on Kim Jong-un in isolation, he would be placed in a context—of how he gets information or how he makes and conveys decisions.

Sign In Don’t have an account? Indeed, if anything, many of the new findings have only served to offer additional empirical strength for many of the interpretations and implications he presciently raised in the original volume. Jervis argues that CIA director John McCone believed, unlike his analysts, that the Soviets would put missiles in Cuba in because of his general worldview, not expert knowledge.


If things go well, it was because of them…if things go poorly, there was obviously an outside influence. Dissonance theory postulates that people seek strong justification for their behavior. Fog Uno rated it really liked it Feb 19, My second practical example also relates to habits of assessment.

While almost all educated people accept the idea of evolution, the obvious achievements—both positive and negative—of humanity conduce toward us seeing human beings as unique in their abilities to control their environments and their fates.

In that realm, however, he has not yet had enough impact. Phillip Zelikow, who like Steinburg is both an academic and a past policy-maker, brings the somewhat unconventional acuity for which he is known to his review.

Perception and Misperception in International Politics by Robert Jervis

The text is fundamental and essential to IR but levels of analysis issues are especially present in Jervis’s text. For those who work on misperceptionn policy, on the other hand, much more consumption of Jervis is advised.

Although the research on political psychology has exploded in the decades since Jervis wrote the original book, he concludes that these new developments do not fundamentally alter his original insights. In Septemberduring the ongoing Czech crisis, the British Foreign Office was debating how to assess the intentions of the German dictator, Adolf Hitler.

Xavier Hernandez rated it liked it Nov 30, Hope that more self-awareness will lead to better outcomes?


To ask other readers questions about Perception and Misperception in International Politicsplease sign up. The field misperceptikn international relations theory does not quite know what to do with Jervis.

Such a model might help us explain otherwise seemingly inexplicable or contradictory behaviors. Retrieved from ” http: I think he is right that it is hard for the IR field to fully absorb the role of misperception. In his qualitative research, Jervis is careful.

But what would better observers, learning from Jervis, do instead? McCone could not be sure that his hypothesis was right.

Although earlier work had been done applying psychological concepts to political phenomena, most notably the work of Harold Pllitics in the s, none of that work really seeped into the subfield of international relations.

Perhaps deep inteenational, they think more like Robert Jervis than their published works might suggest. Definitely a bit redundant and wordy at times, but its A brilliant work that draws attention to the psychological factors influencing foreign policy decision-making and international relations.

As a former official myself, I agree with them.

Human nature may be constant, but one of its constants lies in its sheer variance across individuals. Definitely a bit redundant and wordy at times, but its substantive content is important enough that I’m still giving it five stars.